Job Description

Mercor is hiring

Internal Human Super-Forecasters

on behalf of a leading AI Lab developing the next generation of decision-intelligent systems. This unique role invites you to apply your expert forecasting skills to collaborate with AI researchers and engineers, training, evaluating, and refining models that make probabilistic predictions about strategic events, market shifts, and complex uncertainties.

Responsibilities

Work closely with AI research teams to

generate, train, and validate human-anchored forecasts

on key strategic questions, scenario outcomes, and emerging risks. Apply rigorous probabilistic reasoning, structured judgment, and quantitative techniques to enhance both human and machine forecasting accuracy. Evaluate AI models' forecasts for coherence, calibration, and alignment with structured human judgment -- provide expert feedback on model errors and biases. Design, participate in, and review

forecasting experiments and challenge frameworks

, focused on turning strategic uncertainty into actionable insight. Participate in

synchronous collaboration sessions

(4-hour windows, 2-3 times per week) to review forecast portfolios, debate scenarios, refine judgments, and align human-machine reasoning.

Requirements

Advanced degree or extensive professional experience in

Forecasting, Decision Science, Economics, Political Science, Risk Analysis or a related field

. Proven track record of making high-quality probabilistic forecasts, scenario analyses, or decision-intelligence insights. Strong competency in

probability, calibration, scenario design, and structured judgment techniques

. Proficiency with forecasting tools, data visualization, or statistical software (e.g., Python, R, Excel) is highly valued. Excellent written and verbal communication, strong analytical reasoning, and collaborative mindset. Commitment of

20-30 hours per week

, including required synchronous collaboration periods.

Why Join

Collaborate with a

world-class AI research lab

to influence how intelligent systems anticipate strategic events, market inflections, and systemic vulnerabilities. Play a key role in shaping the way AI models understand and simulate

human forecasting judgment and uncertainty quantification

. Enjoy

schedule flexibility

-- choose your preferred 4-hour collaboration windows and manage your 20-30 hour work week around them. Be engaged as an

hourly contractor through Mercor

, granting autonomy over your schedule while contributing to high-impact forecasting and AI projects. Work alongside leading experts in forecasting, decision science, AI, and analytics -- bridging human judgment and machine reasoning. * Join a

global network of expert forecasters

helping build AI systems grounded in disciplined, accurate forecasting and insight.